Nate Silver doesn’t give Herman Cain much chance of winning (about 2%, in fact). But he also doesn’t think much of pundits who write him off entirely, leading him to issue this challenge: “To clarify, looking for professional writers/pundits/academics who are so sure Cain won’t win the NOMINATION that they’ll quit if he does.”
I think the best possible outcome for the country would be Nate Silver convincing his colleagues David Brooks, Tom Friedman, and Maureen Dowd to accept his bet and Cain winning the nomination.
I am going to take this opportunity to make an announcement: if Herman Cain wins the Republican nomination, I hereby promise to quit writing Negative Interest. However, if Herman Cain loses, my blog will be hosted on the New York Times website (that’s part of the deal, right?).